Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-29 0.003807 0.004002 0.004201 0.004422 0.004658 0.004905 0.005182
2025-07-06 0.003369 0.003647 0.003944 0.004285 0.004668 0.005086 0.005580
2025-07-13 0.003167 0.003497 0.003860 0.004289 0.004786 0.005348 0.006035
2025-07-20 0.003051 0.003425 0.003844 0.004353 0.004958 0.005663 0.006553
2025-07-27 0.002899 0.003296 0.003750 0.004312 0.004996 0.005811 0.006869
2025-08-03 0.002775 0.003191 0.003674 0.004283 0.005039 0.005959 0.007184
2025-08-10 0.002664 0.003094 0.003601 0.004249 0.005069 0.006087 0.007475
2025-08-17 0.002617 0.003071 0.003613 0.004319 0.005227 0.006380 0.007990
2025-08-24 0.002535 0.003000 0.003562 0.004303 0.005273 0.006527 0.008314
2025-08-31 0.002454 0.002926 0.003503 0.004274 0.005298 0.006643 0.008600
2025-09-07 0.002368 0.002842 0.003428 0.004219 0.005284 0.006703 0.008807
2025-09-14 0.002286 0.002761 0.003353 0.004160 0.005260 0.006747 0.008990
2025-09-21 0.002233 0.002716 0.003323 0.004162 0.005319 0.006910 0.009358
2025-09-28 0.002130 0.002603 0.003202 0.004035 0.005196 0.006810 0.009328
2025-10-05 0.002086 0.002565 0.003178 0.004038 0.005254 0.006969 0.009696
2025-10-12 0.002067 0.002559 0.003194 0.004097 0.005391 0.007248 0.010265
2025-10-19 0.002012 0.002503 0.003142 0.004060 0.005387 0.007317 0.010505
2025-10-26 0.001964 0.002456 0.003100 0.004033 0.005397 0.007406 0.010781
2025-11-02 0.001917 0.002409 0.003057 0.004002 0.005399 0.007483 0.011038
2025-11-09 0.001906 0.002409 0.003079 0.004066 0.005544 0.007785 0.011691
2025-11-16 0.001869 0.002373 0.003048 0.004052 0.005570 0.007900 0.012030
2025-11-23 0.001829 0.002332 0.003010 0.004025 0.005575 0.007982 0.012315
2025-11-30 0.001783 0.002281 0.002957 0.003974 0.005541 0.007998 0.012482